Solar Cycles & Climate Change

Get the Solar Facts before getting on the
"Humans Cause Global Warming" (AGW) band wagon.

Our Sun

Planetary warming has been observed on Mars, Jupiter, Pluto, and on Neptune's largest moon Triton during the decades following the peak of the "Solar Grand Maximum" - wonder why - there are no humans there! This is but one indicator that suggests that the climate change on Earth is due to solar changes and our interstellar environment rather than mere human antics. More importantly, the Solar Grand Maximum is finished, now moving into a Solar Grand Minimum. The Earth heats up after a Solar Grand Maximum, lagging a bit after the peak. With a Solar Grand Minimum now on its way, a "global cooling" is on the horizon—a natural oscillation occurring in much longer solar cycles. See "Solar Cycle #25 predictions" and the coming Mini Ice Age on the main Solar Cycles page.

Latest science reveals that sharp increases in global warming "precede" sharp increases in CO2—not the other way around. Global warming causes more CO2 to be released from the oceans. Current research also shows that Earth's oceans are now beginning to cool. It is also now clear that temperatures over the last century correlate far better with cycles in oceans than they do with carbon dioxide; and, the temperature cycles in oceans are caused by Solar and Lunar cycles. Beyond that, planetary cycles drive the solar cycle, particularly the cycles of Jupiter and Saturn. Yet the AGW (Anthropogenic Global Warming) advocates, as well as the media, continue to ignore all of this, perpetuating fear and advocating spending billions of dollars on non-solutions for global warming, something that is not even occurring. Although humans contribute to greenhouse gases, the overall effect is a tiny fraction compared to natural causes. To say humans are the cause of global warming; and to also make predictions that global warming is occurring and will continue to increase is simply inaccurate. This is not to ignore the silver lining of the global warming scare, as humanity must certainly learn to respectfully participate in harmony with nature, with the breath of the Earth, with her land and oceans; and with the cycles of the Sun, Moon, planets, and stars. So let us act and change from knowledge about what is really going on rather than from misinformation fueled by politicians and big-business driving the media and contributing to mass-hysteria.

The "Solar Grand Maximum" has ended - a fact of science most often not considered by the advocates who profess that Global Warming is caused by man-made CO2"—those who perpetuate the global warming media scare.

Reference Material on the Solar Related Global Warming / Cooling Cycle

Basic abbreviations used in some of these articles:

The Pacific and Atlantic undergo multidecadal cycles in the order of several decades. These are the
Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO).
Total Solar Irradiance (TSI).
Global Mean Surface Temperature (GMST)
Anthropogenic Global Warming (i.e. caused by humans) (AGW)
Carbon dioxide (CO2)


July 14, 2011 - Looking Ahead to Local Climate Models
Climate Dynamics by Jim Kinter: Article and Video

Jim Kinter, Director of the Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies (COLA), and a professor of Climate Dynamics at George Mason University discusses climate variability and change.

When research scientist Jim Kinter describes the interactions between the Earth's ocean, land and atmosphere, he talks of dancing. "The atmosphere and the ocean, and the atmosphere and the land surface have to go together," he says. "It's as if they were dancing, and that dance turns out to influence climate."

With support from the National Science Foundation (NSF), NOAA and NASA, scientists at COLA are working to provide the world with more accurate climate predictions—with longer leads—of where climate changes will occur and what the impacts will be on human societies and ecosystems....

http://www.nsf.gov/discoveries/disc_summ.jsp?cntn_id=121022&org=GEO


June 2011 - Earth may be headed into a mini Ice Age within a Decade
Physicists say sunspot cycle is 'going into hibernation.'

What may be the science story of the century is breaking this evening, as heavyweight US solar physicists announce that the Sun appears to be headed into a lengthy spell of low activity, which could mean that the Earth – far from facing a global warming problem – is actually headed into a mini Ice Age.

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/06/14/ice_age/


Jan 2011 - Researchers (in the disciplines of geology, ecology, meteorology, astrophysics, and heliology) who have predicted a long term solar minimum or ‘solar hibernation’ and/or a new climate change to a period of long lasting cold weather based upon solar activity.

Space and Science Research Center:
http://spaceandscience.net


May 17 2010 - Russian Climate Scientist Predicts New Ice Age

A new "Little Ice Age" could begin in just four years, predicted Habibullo Abdussamatov, the head of space research at St. Petersburg's Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory in Russia. The Little Ice Age, which occurred after an era known in scientific circles as the Medieval Warm Period, is typically defined as a period of about 200 years, beginning around 1650 and extending through 1850.

This is a two part video of Abdussamatov speaking at the Heartland Institute's Fourth International Conference on Climate Change in Chicago.

http://www.bibliotecapleyades.net/ciencia/ciencia_globalwarmingpseudo87.htm


November 29 2010 - NEW Sun-Climate Research Center (SCRC)

"The University of Colorado Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics (LASP) and NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center announced the formation of a new collaborative research center dedicated to the study of the Sun’s effect on Earth’s climate. The center, called the Sun-Climate Research Center (SCRC), will be directed by Peter Pilewskie, a LASP research scientist and CU professor, Robert Cahalan, Head of Goddard’s Climate and Radiation Branch, and Douglas Rabin, Head of Goddard’s Solar Physics Laboratory....."

http://lasp.colorado.edu/home/2010/11/29/collaborative-lasp-goddard-sun-climate-research-center-announced/


October 2010 - New findings could sway thought on climate change
Global warming precedes the release of light carbon

(PhysOrg.com) — A newly published paper written by a University of Nebraska-Lincoln researcher Ross Secord and his team could influence the way scientists think about global warming and its effects.

"Researchers found that a major pulse of ancient global warming may have been more complex than scientists previously believed. This pulse of warming may have been preceded or even caused by an earlier pulse of warming, said Ross Secord, assistant professor of Earth and atmospheric sciences and curator of vertebrate paleontology at the University of Nebraska State Museum."

"Many scientists have thought that warming was the direct result of the release of this light carbon, but we found evidence from stable isotopes that warming actually preceded the release of this light carbon," Secord said.

http://www.physorg.com/news/2010-10-sway-thought-climate.html


Feb 2010 - THE GREAT CLIMATE CHANGE RETREAT (UK News)

Professor Phil Jones, the former director of the Climate Research Unit (CRU) at Britain’s University of East Anglia, and who is at the centre of the “Climategate” affair, conceded to the BBC that there has been no "statistically significant" rise in temperatures since 1995. He also stated that from January 2002 to the present, the earth has been cooling. Jones admissions represent a major U-turn being called the "Great Climate Change Retreat."

http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/158214/The-great-climate-change-retreat


Hurricane Expert Rips Climate Fears:

The following commentary is by Atmospheric Scientist and Hurricane forecasting specialist Dr. William Gray. Gray is the renowned hurricane forecaster and Emeritus Professor of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University (CSU).

"Puncturing the Climate Balloon" by Dr. Bill Gray (Dec 8, 2009)

"Had I not devoted my entire career of over half-a-century to the study and forecasting of meteorological and climate events I would have likely been concerned over the possibility of humans causing serious global climate degradation.

There has been an unrelenting quarter century of one-sided indoctrination of the western world by the media and by various scientists and governments concerning a coming carbon dioxide (CO_2 ) induced global warming disaster. These warming scenarios have been orchestrated by a combination of environmentalists, vested interest scientists wanting larger federal grants and publicity, the media which profits from doomsday scenario reporting, governmental bureaucrats who want more power over our lives, and socialists who want to level-out global living standards. These many alarmist groups appear to have little concern over whether their global warming prognostications are accurate, however. And they most certainly are not. The alarmists believe they will be able to scare enough of our citizens into believing their propaganda that the public will be willing to follow their advice on future energy usage and agree to a lowering of their standard of living in the name of climate salvation...."

Article continued here:
Puncturing the Climate Balloon by Dr. Bill Gray (Dec 8, 2009)

Related Article:
Dr. William Gray and The UN IPCC's Dr. Kevin Trenberth Debate Global Warming


Global Warming Mistake – the missing science
Quote from Daniel W. Pangburn, Independent Researcher, Phoenix, Arizona

"The Solar Grand Maximum that has been going on for about 70 years has ended. The 30 year or so PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation) uptrend that combined with the Solar Grand Maximum to produce the end-of-century temperature run up has started its 30 year downtrend. The PDO downtrend combined with the quiet sun is going to result in planet cooling. The sun has not been this quiet this long since 1913. The Climate Science Community appears to be unaware of the science which shows, using paleo temperature data, that added atmospheric carbon dioxide has no significant influence on average global temperature."

"Since 2000, atmospheric carbon dioxide has increased 18.4% of the increase from 1800 to 2000. According to the average of the five reporting agencies, the trend of average global temperatures since 1998 shows no increase and since 2002 the trend shows a DECREASE of 0.8°C/century. This separation shows the lack of connection between atmospheric carbon dioxide increase and average global temperature. As the atmospheric carbon dioxide level continues to increase and the average global temperature doesn’t it is becoming more and more apparent that many climate scientists have made an egregious mistake and a whole lot of people have been mislead."


"Warming Trend: PDO and Solar Correlate Better Than CO2" by Joe D’Aleo (2008)
(PDF) http://icecap.us/images/uploads/US_Temperatures_and_Climate_Factors_since_1895.pdf
Lay Summary: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/01/25/warming-trend-pdo-and-solar-correlate-better-than-co2/

Paper Conclusions:
"Clearly the US annual temperatures over the last century have correlated far better with cycles in the sun and oceans than carbon dioxide. The correlation with carbon dioxide seems to have vanished or even reversed in the last decade. Given the recent cooling of the Pacific and Atlantic and rapid decline in solar activity, we might anticipate given these correlations, temperatures to accelerate downwards shortly."


Global Cooling is Here: Evidence for Predicting Global Cooling for the Next Three Decades
by Prof. Don J. Easterbrook Global Research, November 2, 2008
Department of Geology, Western Washington University
http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=10783

Paper Conclusions:
"Global warming (i.e, the warming since 1977) is over. The minute increase of anthropogenic CO2 in the atmosphere (0.008%) was not the cause of the warming—it was a continuation of natural cycles that occurred over the past 500 years.... The PDO cool mode has replaced the warm mode in the Pacific Ocean, virtually assuring us of about 30 years of global cooling, perhaps much deeper than the global cooling from about 1945 to 1977."


NASA Says PDO Switched to Cold Phase (April, 2008)
NASA’s Earth Observatory
http://rankexploits.com/musings/2008/nasa-says-pdo-switched-to-cold-phase/


Several papers by Dr. Willie Soon- physicist at the Solar and Stellar Physics Division of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics and an astronomer at the Mount Wilson Observatory.
(co-author of the book "The Maunder Minimum and the Variable Sun-Earth Connection)
http://www.marshall.org/experts.php?id=44


"People aren’t to blame for climate change" Professor Ian Plimer (April 22, 2009)
Professor of mining geology at Adelaide University
Author of "Global Warming the Missing Science"

From "The Australian"
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25369920-11949,00.html
"OUTSPOKEN academic geologist Ian Plimer says people are embracing his latest book on the science behind climate change because they are “disenfranchised” and increasingly frustrated with the “selective evidence” being presented about global warming."


*** See Warren Meyer's videos (Recomended)
http://www.climate-skeptic.com/climate-videos.html


Global Warming - Gore testifies on Hill while expert Lord Monckton
is silenced & forced to sit on the sidelines.
http://patriotsforamerica.ning.com/group/patriotsforamericaflorida/forum/topics/global-warming-gore-testifies


Mr. Gore: Apology Accepted
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/harold-ambler/mr-gore-apology-accepted_b_154982.html


And guess who will pay for the perpetuation of the AGW Scare
From The Washington Post (May 7, 2009)
"Climate plans could cost families $1,600"
http://washingtontimes.com/news/2009/may/07/climate-proposals-would-cost-families-1600/

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